FOREX EUR/USD 25th June 2008

"A bounce off the 3-day lows (Monday) and move back above those 50% level on Tuesday will set-up higher prices into the end of the Week.

Like any good pattern, a UP move should hopefully begin from a lower Daily open and rising upwards.

Tuesday's trading is simply going to be defined by the 3-day filter and 5-day 50% level, above those levels and the pattern we should be looking for is a move back towards the 3-day highs..."


Yesterday's Report


EUR Daily and 3-day pattern

EURO along with all major spreads against the USD rose higher on Tuesday and back towards the 3-day highs, which was the pattern I was looking for.

However Tuesday failed to rise and 'hook' above those higher timeframe 50% levels, instead stalling, therefore it's a bit early to make a clear judgement on whether the EURO continues higher this week.

EURO 3-day filter


Longs on the break of the filter on Tuesday confirmed the UP move, but Wednesday is simply going to be defined by the same filter and 5-day 50% level.

There is no probability pattern on Wednesday, except defining the trend either side of those levels, because of the failure to close above the higher timeframe 50% levels Wednesday has an each way bet.

But whilst price is trading above that level, then the 5-day Weekly trend remains bullish......


  • All Daily forex reports are written before 9.00am Sydney Time, which is approximately 3 hours before Midnight GMT


  • Exact levels shown for current day aren't confirmed until midnight GMT





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