FOREX AUD/USD 29th July 2008

Expectation that the AUD is continuing down into July's 50% level, which is matched by the Weekly lows.

Ideal pattern is a move back into the 5-day 50% level and 3-day highs on Monday and continue down.....

That could occur in US trading hours or from a higher open on Tuesday.....


Yesterday's report

AUD Daily and 3-day pattern.

AUD rotated higher on Monday, but failed to reach the 5-day 50% level.

Looking at the 3-day pattern there looks to be a breakout occuring out of the range.

Using the Weekly Report I favour a down move into July's lows...

Therefore it's simply trading on the side of the 3-day filter (yellow)

Tuesday's highs and 5-day 50% level is resistance, but it's not aligned with the 3-day filter for a robust probability pattern downward.

Don't short trade above Tuesday's highs.


  • All Daily forex reports are written before 9.00am Sydney Time, which is approximately 3 hours before Midnight GMT

  • Exact levels shown for current day aren't confirmed until midnight GMT
  •