11th November 2008 AUD, EURO Daily

AUD Weekly and 3-day pattern 7:30am

Expectation of further weakness this week based on the Monthly rejection pattern didn't occur until US trading hours.

Monday:- breakout of Sunday's 3-day filter and expectation of a push higher, but first to test support.

This played out pushing higher during GMT trading hours, but then reversing down from Monday's highs.

Tuesday:- expectation of further weakness down into Tuesday's lows.

Ideal pattern would be to see some support during Asian trading hours, swing back into the 50% level and then continue down into Tuesday's lows.

Note:- it will depend on the next couple of hours, but any break and close below Monday's lows, will be a breakout, which I would look for a 2-day pattern of weakness down into Wednesday's lows.

EURO Weekly and 3-day pattern

Monday:- resistance around the 3-day filter pushing down into support and rallying higher.

But then the same pattern occured in all USD spreads during the US timezone, weakness which matches the Monthly 50% level rejection pattern.

Tuesday:-

I would like to see the Euro swing back into the blue filter and continue down on Tuesday.

This might not occur because the Weekly 50% level could resist price and the Euro could simply following a trending pattern down into Tuesday's lows.

Note: At this stage the view is for currencies to move down towards their Weekly lows



  • All Daily forex reports are written before 9.00am Sydney Time, which is approximately 3 hours before Midnight GMT


  • Exact levels shown for current day aren't confirmed until midnight GMT




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