19th Dec 2008 AUD & EUR/USD Daily

AUD Monthly and 3-day pattern

AUD has stalled at the December 50% level, which is also below the 4th Quarter lows.

Once below the blue filter (3-day mid point), sellers appeared pushing the AUD lower.

At this stage whilst price is trading below the 5-day 50% level the expectation is to continue down into Friday's lows.

This pattern would be a high probability pattern if the Weekly timeframe was moving lower from a higher open, but in this case it's not.

Because the AUD is coming from a lower Weekly open, Friday could end up stalling and moving back towards the 3-day filter.

Trade on the side of the 5-day 50% level.

Euro Monthly and 3-day pattern

Euro has stalled around December's highs and the Quarterly 50% level.

The expectation now is that the Euro is slowly moving back towards the January 50% level.

Ideal pattern would be to see a Friday close below those highs today.

Therefore I would like the Euro to move back towards the 3-day filter :- resistance.

This matches the upper levels:- resistance

Friday:- Random support the 5-day 50% level.



  • All Daily forex reports are written before 9.00am Sydney Time, which is approximately 3 hours before Midnight GMT


  • Exact levels shown for current day aren't confirmed until midnight GMT




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