19th March 2009 AUD, EUR, GBP/USD

AUD Weekly and 5-day pattern

AUD Weekly high breakout and above the March 50% level.

Ideal pattern for any UP move to continue would be price to come back and retest the break or 5-day 50% level.

but it also can push up into the 5-day highs.

5-day highs and 3-day filter range resistance.

Euro Weekly and 5-day pattern

3-day filter support and breakout on Wednesday.

Same pattern as the AUD:-

Ideal pattern for any UP move to continue would be price to come back and retest the break or 5-day 50% level.

But price can also can push up into the 5-day highs before coming back down the next day into support.

5-day highs random resistance.

5-day 50% level support & 3-day filter lower support


GBP Weekly and 3-day pattern

Expectation that GBP would move down into the Weekly balance point and then swing higher.

It did that, but the only problem was that it moved a bit too far down beforing reversing upwards.

On a Personal note, I even ran 40 pip stops and thought I would be safe, and I'd wake up on Thursday with a surprise, but it wasn't a nice surprise.

Anyway....

Expecting the same pattern as the S&P:- Hook pattern over 1.4212 and continue higher into the March 50% level and Weekly highs.

Therefore a test and support around 1.4207 and hopefully during US timezone it continues to move into a higher daily close.

Note:- GBP could move slightly down into the previous 3-day filter and 5-day 50% level before heading higher.

Trade on the side of 1.4212.



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