25th March 2009 AUD, EUR, GBP/USD



AUD Weekly and 3-day pattern.

AUD trading around the March Highs, the Quarterly balance point and the Weekly highs.

At this stage I still leaning to the view that the AUD needs to pullback into the April 50% level before any potential move upwards in the 2nd Quarter.

Therefore I’m going to continue trying to short the 3-day filter, sadly Tuesday didn’t move high enough.

Wednesday:- 5-day 50% level random support
3-day filter resistance.

If trading below the 5-day 50% level there is the view that AUD should follow a 2-day pattern lower towards next week’s 50% level


Euro Weekly and 3-day pattern

Same expectation as the AUD, pullback into next Quarterly balance point.

Precise entry on the Euro on the 3-day filter and price looks to be moving down, as it heads down into the March and Weekly 50% levels.

We can currently see the 5-day 50% level supporting price, but if the Euro is going to follow the move down, then it should hit Wednesday’s 50% level and push down into the 5-day lows.

The 5-day lows, along with the higher timeframe 50% levels are viewed as support…

But any higher move upwards, needs to verify support, and then continue higher the next day from a lower daily open.

At this stage Wednesday’s 5-day low doesn’t match the higher timeframe 50% level, therefore there could be another push down into Thursday.



GBP Weekly and 3-day pattern

GBP is trading above the Monthly 50% level with the expectation of higher prices in March, but at this stage it’s struggling to follow through.

The past 2-days has been trading above the 3-day filter but not continuing with the breakout patterns of the 5-day highs

Unless GBP drops below the 5-day 50% level the trend remains up.










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