21st April 2009 AUD, EUR, GBP/USD



AUD Weekly and 3-day pattern.


AUD continuing down into the April 50% level and Weekly lows.

The sell-off started with the 3-day filter and confirmed with the 5-day low breakout on Monday.

Normally price moves back into the 5-day break and 5-day 50% level and then continues down, but I’d be surprise to see price above the Weekly 50% level @ .7028 without hitting the 5-day lows first.




Euro Weekly and 3-day pattern

Friday’s close is bearish on the Euro with the expectation price is moving down.

This has pushed the Euro down into the Weekly lows and the 5-day lows, and could easily continue down on Tuesday.

I would still like to find an ideal ‘short & hold’ set-up, and that won’t occur unless price is trading around the 3-day filter (red).

No probability pattern on Tuesday:- trend guide Yellow filter



GBP Weekly and 3-day pattern

Had the same view of a push down on Monday, but the set-up didn’t play out with a move into the 3-day filter.

We have the same view as the AUD of a 5-day breakout and push down into April 50% level.

Blue filter trend guide @ 1.4599

Resistance the 5-day 50% level and the breakout on Monday @ 1/4675


  • All Daily forex reports are written aftr 11.00am Sydney Time, which is approximately Midnight GMT



  • Exact levels shown for current day aren't confirmed until midnight GMT


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