10th June 2009 AUD, EUR Daily



AUD Weekly and 5-day pattern

There is a MAY high breakout and our expectation is that currencies will continue higher towards the June highs.

This week we have seen prices move down into the 5-Weekly 50% level and find support, and the expectation was that Tuesday would continue higher towards .8122

There is nothing to suggest that Wednesday will move down.

Price is trading above the 5-day 50% level and in theory should continue higher.

Simply don't trade longs below the 5-day 50% level.

The 3-day filter could provide 4 hour resistance (41 pip) down move, but it should remain above the 5-day 50% level and push towards .8122

Note:- never discount a higher Daily open sell down when any price pattern is in a 3-day 'sell' cycle.

AUD is currently in a 3-day sell cycle @ .8122, that's why limit any longs below the 5-day 50% level today.

Euro Weekly and 5-day pattern

Euro should continue higher on Wednesday towards 1.4268.

That can happen from the 5-day 50% level and continue higher (41 pip as first partial exit)

or there could be a push down into 1.3980 (3-day filter) and then continue higher.

A move down into the 3-day filter and then a higher move would provide an ideal set-up towards the 5-day highs.

Note:- Euro in 3-day sell cycle

don't trade longs below 1.3980

  • All Daily forex reports are written before 11.00am Sydney Time, which is approximately Midnight GMT
  • Exact levels shown for current day aren't confirmed until midnight GMT




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