16th July 2009 AUD, EUR Daily



AUD Weekly and 5-day pattern


AUD has rallied over 3 days back towards the monthly BP and stalled.

Normally 3 UP days in a row and the expectation of a 4th UP day in a row drops considerably unless price retests the 5-day 50% level...

Or in this case the Weekly 50% level.

But with a breakout of Wednesday's 5-day highs, Price can still continue higher on Thursday.

Trade on the side of the brown



Euro Weekly and 5-day pattern

I haven't had a view or ideal patterns on the euro because it failed to move down into the July 50% levels.

The 5-day pattern has been all over the place because price was choppy around the higher timeframe 50% levels.

I don't have a view on the Euro on Thursday...

Trade on the side of the Yellow...

either it continues up into Thursday's high.

Or drops back down into the 5-day 50% level and Weekly 50% level once again.

No probability pattern



  • All Daily forex reports are written before 11.00am Sydney Time, which is approximately Midnight GMT
  • Exact levels shown for current day aren't confirmed until midnight GMT




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