30th July 2009 AUD, EUR Weekly

AUD Weekly and 5-day pattern

AUD moving back down into the August BP and Weekly 50% levels.

Thursday's 5-day 50% level resistance.


Euro Weekly and 5-day pattern

I was expecting the 5-day 50% level to push the euro down into Wednesday's lows, but I wasn't expecting the break of the 5-day lows.

Price was trading above the Weekly 50% level, therefore my view was for Euro to remain above support (Wednesday's lows)

There is now an expectation for price to continue down into the Weekly lows:- higher Weekly open and lower Weekly close.

Weekly lows match the August balance point

The best trade is going to be hopefully below Thursday 50% level and the Weekly 50% level, with the expectation that price will continue down into a lower low on Friday near the Monthly 50% levels (Weekly lows)


Normally I would focus on another 2 day down move from a 5-day 50% level towards the Weekly lows @ 1.3878


So stops need to be above the Weekly 50% level.


If the Euro hits 1.3878 before the set-up plays out, then we need to wait and look for the next set-up from next week.




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  • Exact levels shown for current day aren't confirmed until midnight GMT




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