11th August 2009 USD, AUD, EUR Daily

US Dollar index

August 50% level resistance and if price continues down then other currencies will rise


AUD Weekly and 5-day pattern

AUD moved into the Weekly 50% level and has closed around the 5-day 50% level.

Normally I would look at this pattern and say....

Price has retested the breakout with today's higher daily close, and because it is a higher Weekly open and a Higher Daily open below the 5-day 50% level, then the trend should continue down over the next 2 days. (lower Weekly close)

However, because of the USD index if the AUD is above the 3-day filter on Thursday then I can't discount a rally towards the August highs over the next few days

Euro Weekly and 5-day pattern

Euro looks more orderly with price support above the higher timeframe 50% levels.


Currently trading below the 5-day 50% level.


If the Euro is above the Yellow filter on Thursday and above the 5-day 50% level, then a move towards the 5-day highs is a probability pattern...


And August highs by Friday.


Trade on the side of the Yellow filter
Below the Red 3-day filter on Thursday and it is more likely a lower Weekly close on Friday






  • All Daily forex reports are written before 11.00am Sydney Time, which is approximately Midnight GMT



  • Exact levels shown for current day aren't confirmed until midnight GMT




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