20th August 2009 USD, AUD, EUR Daily


USD Index and 5-day pattern


August 50% level resistance and Weekly 50% level break. Expectation now is that the USD indexes will continue down whilst currencies will move upwards.

However on Thursday, I would expect price to retest the Weekly 50% level and 5-day 50% level before heading lower on Friday.

That retest could be a test and reject pattern today and continuation down into a lower Daily close...

or it could be a higher daily close and then price moves down the next day.

AUD Weekly and 5-day pattern

Because of this price action and the price action in the AUD the bias is to move higher...

but it needs to be trading above the 3-day filter.

If the USD index is moving back into the 5-day 50% level then there can still be early 'selling pressure on the AUD:- R41 pips or 4 hour resistance.

Euro Weekly and 5-day pattern

Euro bias is to continue higher, but the ideal pattern would be Thursday to retest the Weekly 50% level @ 1.4182 before heading higher.

Note:- Support and trend guide is the red 3-day filter.

  • All Daily forex reports are written before 11.00am Sydney Time, which is approximately Midnight GMT
  • Exact levels shown for current day aren't confirmed until midnight GMT




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