7th August 2009 AUD, EUR Monday

US Dollar Index and 5-day pattern

USD dollar index is rising up from support.

There is a 5-day breakout.

At this stage the USD index could swing back towards next week's 50% level and that will put pressure on the AUD and Euro to drop.

However, we still don't know whether Friday will continue further than the 5-day highs, and price reverses back down into a lower close, and then continues down lower next week....

But we should trade with what we see (bullish 5-day breakout rising up from support) and not what might happen afterwards.

AUD weekly and 5-day pattern.

Because of the pattern in the USD Index, we should focus on 'shorting' on friday with the hope that price sells off from either the 5-day 50% level or the 3-day filter and breaks the 5-day lows, as part of a pullback into the Weekly 50% level.

Based on Friday's patterns I couldn't be trading longs...

Limit any short trading above the 3-day filter.

Euro Weekly and 5-day pattern

I wish I could be as confident in the Euro because of the Weekly high breakout...

However, the 3-day filter and 5-day 50% level is the trend guide on Friday.








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