14th December 2009 USD, AUD Euro Daily

Lower Weekly open and currencies have moved up from their Friday lows, but not from any higher timeframe support levels, whilst at the same time the USD Index is doing the exact opposite:- higher weekly open and 2-day reversal pattern.

At this stage I'm treating currencies as short-term reversal patterns, simply because of the expectation that the USD index will continue higher.


AUD & Euro Weekly

AUD back above higher timeframe 50% levels and 5-day 50% levels, whilst the Euro is far weaker, with the expectation price will continue down into the Weekly lows and December lows.

However, at this stage a 2-day reversal pattern can take the Euro back towards the Weekly 50% levels, whilst the AUD can move upwards.



AUD 5-day and spiral filter.

The trend guide is the 5-day 50% level on tuesday, which could result in a continuation upwards, as price is trading above the Weekly 50% levels,

However, because it's a higher daily open I would continue to use the 3-day filter (yellow) as a 4 hour reversal (41 pip) pattern, and see where price ends up by the time the US time zone catches up

Euro 5-day pattern and spiral filter.

If the trend is going to continue down, then the most logical level would be the 5-day 50% level and down into Tuesday's lows, and should breakout.

If price is above the red filter coming into the GMT-US timezone, then Tuesday will be part of the 2nd day reversal pattern


  • All Daily forex reports are written before 11.00am Sydney Time, which is approximately Midnight GMT
  • Exact levels shown for current day aren't confirmed until midnight GMT




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