OIL FUTURES 30 JAN 2010 Weekly



USD Index

At this stage the expectation is that the USD index will continue towards the February highs.

Around those highs are important, because if price reverses back under $80.00, then price will be back below the 3xQuarter 50% level, which could see a rotation back down into the monthly 50% level in March.

AUD Quarterly and Monthly

It seems that the 3-Quarter 50% level is the target @ 84.42.

A probable support that's verified with lesser timeframe patterns.


Euro Quarterly and Monthly

Extremely bearish when price breaks out of the 3-month lows (January) and below the 3-quarter 50% levels, as the USD Index rises.

There's two possible outcomes:-

1. break and extend pattern down into the February lows and Feb closes back above 1.4412

And then March moves upwards

2.:- breakout can extend from 1 Quarter into the next.

That means the Euro is travelling towards the Yellow lows in the 2nd Quarter in a zig-zag fashion, or could be swift.


GBP Quarterly, Monthly & Weekly

February lows support.

Based on the Weekly timeframe it could take 2-weeks for that to happen.

Note:- Everything is dependant on how the USD index trades around the February highs and Currencies around their February lows.

Daily reports out on Monday