8th March 2011, EUR, AUD, Daily

Euro Weekly and daily

Based on the current price action, the euro looks to be following a move down from the March highs and rotating back towards the lower Weekly level.

This is to retest last week's breakout @ 1.3878

trend guide to keep an eye on is the lower channel in the daily range @ 1.3960, if below it's part of a down day.

We currently have a breakout of the channel low @ 1.3974 in Monday's daily range, which suggests more short-term weakness.

Any intra-day strength during the first 12 hours and resistance is around the daily channel highs.


AUD Weekly and Daily range

I was looking for more strength on Monday, as part of Friday's support pattern.

Instead, we once again have 2nd 12 hour resistance patterns in the daily range, resulting in a daily channel break, which can push lower on Tuesday.

Whilst the AUD remains above the Weekly 50% level, Tuesday is still seen as a potential 2nd UP day, but at this stage I don't have a high probability 'long' set-up using the daily range.

Therefore, the support is the Weekly 50% level @ 1.0087, with an intra-day trend guide @ 1.0135 (random resistance)

In conclusion:- if Tuesday remains choppy resulting in a 2nd 'stall' day, then from Wednesday onwards we could see selling pressure on the AUD

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