FOREX GBP/USD 12 April 2008

GBP Weekly and Daily charts

At this stage the view is for GBP to head down towards the April low.

However things don't go down in straight lines, they often zig-zag their way to larger timeframe levels.

3 plays that we need to look out for next week....

A:- and this is what I would like to happen...

A lower Weekly open and expectation that price will swing back up into the Weekly 50% level before heading down into the Weekly lows

B:- Weekly channel lows shift lower next week and price moves down into the Weekly lows before reversing upwards into the Weekly 50% level and the 3-day highs.

C:- Just continues down on Monday and breaks support early in the Week and moves into a trend Weekly timeframe down. (less likely)

The 5-day 50% level has been defining the trend with each day pushing lower.

If the market is going to follow either A set-up or B-set up then next week price will have to break the 5-day 50% level.