FOREx AUD/USD 2nd July 2008

"Monday has followed the usual pattern from a higher Weekly open back down into support zones, as it follows a 2-day reversal pattern.

Whenever the price reverses back down from a higher weekly open, the Weekly trend is defined by the 3-day lows, the 5-day 50% level, and the Weekly 50% level.

There is no probability pattern on Tuesday, Price is too high from the Weekly 50% level to use as support. Tuesday looks to be a 2nd stalling day, with a better pattern set-up from Wednesday.

Day-traders simply use the 5-day 50% level as the trend guide."


Yesterday's report


AUD Daily and 3-day pattern

AUD continues down into the Weekly 50%, as part of the 2-day reversal using the 5-day 50% level as a 'Thrust' pattern down.

Tuesday has found support @ the Weekly 50% level, and also Tuesday's lows....

3-day filter

If Wednesday is going to move higher, and the overall trend going to continue back towards the Weekly highs, then Wednesday should be rising up from the 3-day filter using the same support level as Tuesday's low @ 9536-9.

Note: If Wednesday fails at the 5-day 50% level and continues down into into the lows, then the price action is favouring a lower Weekly close ( Friday top-to-bottom), and back into the July 50% level.

  • All Daily forex reports are written before 9.00am Sydney Time, which is approximately 3 hours before Midnight GMT
  • Exact levels shown for current day aren't confirmed until midnight GMT




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