FOREX EUR/USD 2nd July 2008

"Expectation price is coming down to test the monthly 50% level in July, and then see whether it continues higher, or actually breaks.

This is going to be confirmed with Tuesday's lows and 5-day 50% level.

A bullish pattern will find support off Tuesday's lows and continue higher."


Yesterday's report


EURO daily and 3-day pattern


Euro continued higher and back towards Tuesday's highs and stalling once again.

The problem was that the EURO didn't drop a few more pips to test support to trade upwards.

That pattern off Tuesday's lows was my probability set-up.

For Wednesday there is no probability set-up other than re-acting to price action using Wednesday's highs.

Wednesday highs are view as resistance, as was the case with Monday's and Tuesday's highs, but because the 3-day filter is now matching price can also 'breakout':- (don't short trade above Wednesday's highs)

A reversal back down from Wednesday highs and back into the 5-day 50% level is viewed as a lower daily close with a random length :- 2-day stall and 3rd day sell-off can easily continue lower on Wednesday..

That basically means that a 3rd day sell is better to trade down, verify support is valid, and if bullish then trade longs from a lower daily open the next day.

If it breaks support, then price is moving into a lower Weekly close into Friday.

  • All Daily forex reports are written before 9.00am Sydney Time, which is approximately 3 hours before Midnight GMT
  • Exact levels shown for current day aren't confirmed until midnight GMT




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