30th Jan 2009 AUD, EUR, GBP/USD Daily

AUD Weekly and 3-day pattern

Currencies and Index markets are following the same patterns, January downtrend..

There has been a 1 week UP move (actually 3-days), and with the expectation that prices will go lower in February, as part of the 2-month down trend.

At this stage the Down trend is moving a couple of days early, confirmed with price reversing down from the Weekly 50% level and trading below the 5-day 50% levels.

Friday:- There is a breakout on Thursday so the expectation is to push down into Friday's lows.

Ideally I would like to see the AUD move back into the Monthly 50% levels early next week before the trends continues down but it might not happen...

Weekly report tomorrow.

Euro Weekly and 3-day pattern

Same expectation in the Euro of heading lower.

Hopefully there is Friday support and a swing back into the 5-day 50% levels:-retest and then continue down

But if Friday breakouts the trend is down towards the Weekly lows.


GBP Weekly and 3-day pattern

GBP is slightly different, it's being supported around January's lows, and trading above the Weekly 50% levels...

A breakout above the 3-day filter could see a higher Weekly close and a swing back towards the February's 50% levels

However, selling down from the 3-day filter on a last day of the month can see price down into Friday's lows.

If Friday's lows breakout, then it's the same pattern of heading lower.