20th Feb 2009 AUD, EUR, GBP/USD Daily



AUD Weekly and 3-day pattern

Currencies kicked up on Thursday rising above their 3-day blue filter and back towards the 3-day highs.

Price didn’t move down low enough on Thursday to trade longs upwards.

The same level on Friday along with the 5-day 50% level is the trend guide.

No probability on Direction.

The ideal Short-trade for position traders is the 5-day high @ 6545 which goes close to matching the monthly 50% level.

Day traders adjust to the market either side of the 5-day 50% level.



Euro Weekly and 3-day pattern

Long set-up aligned with the Euro looking for a move towards the 3-day filter.

If the Euro is going to follow the down trend again it should be pushing down from the 5-day 50% level and trading below the Weekly lows.

Day traders adjust to either side of the 5-day 50% level.

Position traders ideal set-up would be to see a rally into the 5-day high @ 1.2820 on Friday stall, and hopefully the market continues down next week.




GBP Weekly and 3-day pattern

Fake break on GBP, and imo it should sell off from the 3-day filter and continue down towards Friday’s lows.

Note:- if trading above the 3-day filter and Weekly 50% level, price could continue towards the Friday highs (5-day).

Ideal short-trade set-up for position traders around the 5-day highs.

In conclusion:- Expectation prices are moving down into February lows, and I can't get bullish on currenices along with Indexes until those lows have been reached.

Weekly Report out tomorrow