23rd April 2009 AUD, EUR, GBP/USD

AUD Weekly and 3-day pattern.


I bearish on the AUD with the expectation of a move down into the monthly 50% levels.
Currently trading below the 3-week 50% level and also the 5-day 50% level, which aligns with the break of Monday’s lows.

The only conclusion is a continued down move below into Thursday’s lows(and more)

A similar pattern as GBP (read Below)

Limit shorts above the 3-day filter


EUR Weekly and 3-day pattern

All this week I’ve been looking for a move back towards the Weekly 50% level (monthly @ 1.3150.

But it wasn’t until the 3-day filter had dropped below the 5-day 50% level that buyers appeared.

Wednesday stalled around the 5-day 50% level.

The only play I can see on Thursday is a push down into the 3-day filter confirmed with a 4 hour low, and then hopefully a continuation upwards into the 5-day highs or 1.3150

Limit longs below the 3-day filter as the set-up has failed and could result into a break on the downside.

GBP Weekly and 3-day pattern.

Same pattern as AUD, retest the Monday breakout of the 5-day lows and 3-day filter highs, and sell down into the 5-day lows again.

This completes the move back into the Monthly 50% level,which are viewed as strong support, until it breaks.

At this stage expectation is to continue down into Thursday’s lows (random support), but any break above the 5-day 50% level and 3-day filter on Thursday is part of the Monthly 50% level support








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