24th April 2009 AUD, EUR, GBP/USD



AUD Weekly and 3-day pattern

AUD Weekly and 3-day pattern.

Expectation of further weakness down finally failed with a cross-over of the 3-day filter.

3-day filter is the trend guide on Friday, but I won’t have a probability pattern until this week ends and next week begins.

Simple because the AUD can continue higher or follow a consolidating Weekly pattern of daily bars that close in the opposite direction of each other :- lower Daily close.



Euro Weekly and 3-day pattern.

Yesterday’s set-up was to trade longs above the 3-day filter (below the 5-day 50% level), but once above the 5-day 50% level it completed the move into the 5-day highs and stalling.

Around these levels I have major resistance, but it wouldn’t surprise me to see a higher close on Friday back into the Weekly 50% levels.

But the only way I would trade that would be for the Euro to makes its way back down into the 3-day filter on Friday:- rnadom support.



GBP Weekly and 3-day pattern.

GBP had reached the April 50% level so there was an expectation that price would reverse upwards…

But that could be confirmed until there was a move above the 5-day 50% level.

If GBP is going to continue higher then price should remain above the 5-day 50% level, but the next probability pattern won’t be until next week begins.

Simply because it's a higher daily close and trading around the Weekly 50% level could result in a down day.

That's been the pattern this week:- daily closes in the opposite direction of the open.